Fed Rate Decision Preview: Target Range Seen Holding at 3.75%–4%

The Federal Reserve announces its rate decision Wednesday, October 28, with the target range expected to stay at 3.75%–4%, unchanged from now.

The Federal Reserve announces its interest rate decision on Wednesday, October 28, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET, with the target range expected to hold at 3.75%–4%, the same level it sits at now. Fortune reports the FOMC set this range at its September 15-16 meeting, and this week's gathering runs October 27-28.

The Fed's decision on October 28, 2026: what is expected
MeasureRate
Expected3.75%–4%
Now3.75%–4%

Source: Economic calendar: the Federal Reserve's policy rate and the consensus forecast · as of October 27, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET · The federal funds target range. Announced at 2:00 PM ET; the press conference is at 2:30 PM ET.

Where the rate has been

The effective federal funds rate, shown monthly from November 2006 through September 2026, stood at 3.75% in September 2026. The series peaked at 5.33% in August 2023 and bottomed at 0.05% in April 2020, after the Fed cut rates to near zero to counter the pandemic's economic damage. A year before the latest reading, in September 2025, the rate was 4.22%.

The effective federal funds rate, monthly average, November 2006 to September 2026
Latest
3.8% Sep 2026
High
5.3% Aug 2023
Low
0.1% Apr 2020

Source: Federal Reserve, effective federal funds rate, monthly · The monthly average runs to September 2026; it trails the target the committee sets.

What to watch

The Fed releases its policy statement at 2:00 PM ET on October 28, followed by the chair's press conference at 2:30 PM ET. A summary of trader discussion on X, described only as talk among market participants and not stated as fact, suggests many are focused less on the decision itself and more on how the statement is worded and what the chair's remarks might signal about the Fed's approach heading into its December meeting. That same discussion ties the outcome to moves in the dollar, equities, and crypto, alongside upcoming inflation and growth data.

Sources

How this was made

Built from WiseView and market data, with reporting from the sources above. Drafted with AI assistance and reviewed by an editor before publishing. How this report is made

For information only, not investment advice.

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