The PCE Price Index rose 3.6% year-over-year in September, matching the 3.6% forecast and up from August's 3.4%. On a monthly basis, prices rose 0.5%, also in line with the 0.5% forecast and above the prior reading of 0.3%.
| Reading | Actual | Forecast | Prior |
|---|---|---|---|
| PCE Price Index YoY (Sep) | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% |
| PCE Price Index MoM (Sep) | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Core PCE Price Index YoY (Sep) | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3% |
| Personal Income MoM (Sep) | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Personal Spending MoM (Sep) | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% |
| Core PCE Price Index MoM (Sep) | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
Source: Economic calendar: the official release, the consensus forecast and the prior reading · as of October 29, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET · Released at 8:30 AM ET on Thursday, October 29, 2026.
The details
Core PCE, which excludes food and energy, rose 3.1% year-over-year in September, matching the 3.1% forecast and up from 3% prior. Monthly core PCE rose 0.3%, in line with the 0.3% forecast and unchanged from the prior reading.
Personal income rose 0.2% in September, below the 0.3% forecast and below the prior 0.3% reading. Personal spending rose 0.5%, below the 0.6% forecast and down from August's 0.9% increase.
In context
No historical chart data is stored for this measure. Compared with the prior month, the annual PCE reading climbed from 3.4% in August to 3.6% in September, while core PCE edged up from 3% to 3.1% over the same period.
How markets took it
Ahead of the opening bell, S&P 500 futures were down 0.38% at 7,754.00 and Nasdaq 100 futures fell 1.17% to 29,629.75 from the prior close. The 10-year Treasury yield slipped 0.54% to 5.017%.
| Market | Level | Change |
|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 futures | 7,754.00 | -0.38% |
| Nasdaq 100 futures | 29,629.75 | -1.17% |
| 10-year Treasury yield | 5.017% | -0.54% |
Source: Index futures, index and Treasury yield quotes · as of October 29, 2026 at 8:36 AM ET · Read at 8:36 AM ET, before the regular session opened; change is from the prior close.