GDP report for the third quarter: growth hits 3.4%, beats forecast

Third-quarter GDP grew 3.4% at an annual rate, above the 3.2% forecast and up from 2.2% prior.

The U.S. economy grew at a 3.4% annualized rate in the third quarter, topping the 3.2% forecast and accelerating from the prior quarter's 2.2% pace, according to Thursday's release.

GDP Growth Rate QoQ — the third quarter: the release
ReadingActualForecastPrior
GDP Growth Rate QoQ (Q3)3.4%3.2%2.2%
GDP Price Index QoQ (Q3)2.2%3.2%6.1%

Source: Economic calendar: the official release, the consensus forecast and the prior reading · as of October 29, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET · Released at 8:30 AM ET on Thursday, October 29, 2026.

The details

The GDP Price Index, a measure of price changes across the economy, rose 2.2% quarter over quarter, well below both the 3.2% forecast and the prior reading of 6.1%.

In context

Stored official data show real GDP growth at an annual rate was last recorded at 1.50% in April 2026, down from 3.84% a year earlier in April 2025. Over the full January 2007 to April 2026 span, readings have ranged from a low of -27.98% in April 2020 to a high of 34.86% in July 2020, so the latest stored figure sits well within that wide range and far below both extremes.

Real GDP, quarterly growth at an annual rate, January 2007 to April 2026
Latest
1.5% Q2 2026
High
34.9% Q3 2020
Low
−28.0% Q2 2020

Source: US Bureau of Economic Analysis, real GDP, quarterly · The stored history runs to April 2026; this release's readings are in the table above.

How markets took it

In premarket trading at 8:35 AM ET, S&P 500 futures were down 0.38% at 7,753.50 and Nasdaq 100 futures were down 1.18% at 29,625.25, while the 10-year Treasury yield slipped 0.26% to 5.031%. Barron's reported that Oracle shares had surged 10.73% after stronger-than-expected investor-day guidance, while ServiceNow fell 3.00% after its subscription sales outlook raised AI-related concerns among investors.

Markets before the open
MarketLevelChange
S&P 500 futures7,753.50-0.38%
Nasdaq 100 futures29,625.25-1.18%
10-year Treasury yield5.031%-0.26%

Source: Index futures, index and Treasury yield quotes · as of October 29, 2026 at 8:35 AM ET · Read at 8:35 AM ET, before the regular session opened; change is from the prior close.

Sources

How this was made

Built from WiseView and market data, with reporting from the sources above. Drafted with AI assistance and reviewed by an editor before publishing. How this report is made

For information only, not investment advice.

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